Analitik İncelemeler
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16.03.2020 11:36
FED puts zero: monetary papyrus against the virus
Europe has become the epicentre of the pandemic, in fact, Shengen was cancelled, it is difficult to estimate the negative consequences in the average term even approximately. Unemployment growth is guaranteed, consumption reduction is expected to be at least 20%. Financial markets in permanent catas...
Daha fazlası
09.03.2020 12:07
No bottom or shore is visible: the markets are absolutely risk-off
Oil quotes at the minimum of February 2016. OPEC + not only did not reach agreement on an additional reduction in production, but also refused to extend the current quotas. Following the meeting, a document was signed on the continuation of cooperation under the Charter of Cooperation, but, since Ap...
Daha fazlası
02.03.2020 12:36
War of the worlds: viral crash-test – still not a disaster
Panic on the topic of the virus still seems excessive, but investors are beginning to consider not only the economic impact of the epidemic but the risk of losing trump in the presidential election in November, what causes global capital outflow from US assets. Capitalization of the US stock market ...
Daha fazlası
24.02.2020 12:29
To each his own: one − a virus, the other − a medicine
Fed
The minutes of the meeting on January 29 turned out to be useless. The Federal Reserve is potentially ready for a policy change, that is, the likelihood of lower rates is lower than increases. The chorus of speeches by the Fed members was surprisingly well-coordinated: everyone is sure that...
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17.02.2020 11:55
The market is actively ill: there is no immunity to risk yet
So …
FRS Protocol, February 19
The January 29 document is hopelessly outdated even for analysts. The impact of the epidemic on the US economy could not be assessed before the release of statistics for February, and Powell’s position on the FRS's balance sheet was set out at a January press con...
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