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18.11.2019 12:01
Politicians time: dangerous, but inevitable
FED Powell said nothing new in two rounds of reports before congressional committees. On 20 November protocol will clearly be hawkish with the view of most FRS members that this rate situation is optimal to offset external risks to the US economy's prospects. In the text of the document we are ...
11.11.2019 12:38
Wars don't determine who is right: the market craves revenge
Even the most favourable decisions cannot be considered final, although a strong impetus for risk appetite at the end of the year is guaranteed. USA - EU Trump promised to decide on increasing duties on EU auto imports until November 14, which is one of the key drivers for the dynamics of the ...
04.11.2019 10:22
Local problems are solved, but we do not slow down the pace
The Fed adjusted the parameters according to the forecast, but in general FRS's rhetoric turned out to be hawkish. The assessment of economic growth is positive, there is a high rate of household expenditure, the assessment of the labour market and inflation has remained unchanged. Powell believes ...
28.10.2019 13:21
New Anglo-French War: Cui prodest?
Brexit Britain’s Parliament approved the current version of the agreement, but refused to approve the government’s proposed accelerated timetable for a final decision, so an extension of Article 50 is inevitable. Johnson believes that debate on the substance of the agreement will be resumed be...
21.10.2019 12:40
Brexit without Johnson or the policy of three letters
Prime Minister Johnson almost made a feat, having reached a political agreement with the EU, but was forced to accept disadvantageous to Britain compromises that eventually led to the failure of a vote in Parliament. We recall that this option was already rejected in 2018 and recognized by the gover...
14.10.2019 11:55
Brexit changed director − we are waiting for the result
So … Britain Euphoria from a long meeting of Johnson with Varadkar provided to pound speculative growth almost on 5 figures: Britain for the first time expressed the support of the ideas of an open border with Ireland. Northern Ireland actually will remain in the customs territory of Britain ...
07.10.2019 11:46
Brexit: the last set is played without a tie-break
The British Prime Minister gave the EU the «new» plan again, EU rejected it once again. Providing the choice to Northern Ireland concerning normative rules of the EU or Britain with the obligation of the EU to refuse check of border endangers the uniform market of the EU. Alas, London still has no o...
30.09.2019 11:34
The market is governed by political blackmail
Britain The Supreme Court of Britain recognized stoppage of parliament illegal, and Johnson guilty of the Queen's misinformation concerning the reasons and need of acceptance of such measures. The Prime Minister, in turn, declared the judgment «incorrect» and accused the opponents of capitulat...
23.09.2019 11:45
Trump Almighty or the market is looking for volatility
So … Fed The rate on federal funds was reduced by 0.25%, the rate on excess reserves − by 0.30%. The market perceived the accompanying statement as too optimistic, although the situation still indicates a slight increase in inflation. The forecast for US GDP growth for 2019 was increased by 0...
16.09.2019 11:57
Lessons of Herostratus: aggression as a factor of progress
Let's start with a fresh fire: On Saturday the world's largest oil refinery company Saudi Aramco was attacked by air drones − this is the most destructive accident in the oil industry of Saudis. Analysts estimate market losses approximately at 5 million Barrel/day, that is about 5% of daily extrac...